Leones Negros vs Cancún analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
CIM
2 - 0
UDG
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
UDG
1 - 1
CDT
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
UDG
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UDG
2 - 2
SPT
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
TIA
1 - 3
UDG
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CFC
4 - 0
SPT
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CDT
0 - 0
CFC
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
CFC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 2
MER
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 1
CFC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |