Leones Negros vs Atlético Mexiquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LOB
1 - 3
UDG
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
UDG
1 - 2
IND
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
VER
3 - 1
UDG
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
UDG
1 - 0
TAB
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
TAM
4 - 1
UDG
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Mexiquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
DOR
27%
25%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
REB
1 - 1
MEX
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MEX
0 - 0
DUR
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
MON
0 - 2
MEX
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 1
GUE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |