Leones Negros vs Altamira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
UDG
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 1
TOR
23%
25%
51%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UDG
2 - 2
REB
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDG
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Altamira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 0
LOB
40%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
ALT
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALT
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 2
IRA
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 2
ALT
43%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |