Venezuelan Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
ULA Mérida vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
60.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
URE
1 - 1
ULA
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
ULA
0 - 0
ATG
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ULA
2 - 0
ZAM
74%
17%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ULA
2 - 0
ATL
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 3
ULA
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
EST
1 - 3
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
EST
3 - 1
ZUL
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 1
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |