Univ de Chile vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1965 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCH
75%
15%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCH
57%
19%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
UCH
1 - 5
SAN
43%
23%
35%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1963 |
UCH
2 - 3
BOC
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1963 |
OLI
2 - 1
UCH
71%
16%
13%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNI
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCH
57%
19%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
UNI
2 - 0
PEÑ
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |