Univ de Chile vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
CRZ
7 - 0
UCH
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ULC
6 - 1
UCH
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
0 - 0
CRZ
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 3
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
2 - 1
CUR
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 0
EVE
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ULC
1 - 3
UCO
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
IQU
1 - 3
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 1
COL
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |