Univ de Chile vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 4
UCH
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UCH
1 - 1
ANT
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 0
UCH
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
UCH
3 - 0
PEÑ
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
HUA
4 - 2
UCH
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BOL
3 - 0
UCO
41%
24%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 0
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |