Clausura Finals Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Univ de Chile vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 0
LIG
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 0
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 1
UCH
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCH
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 1
UCO
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |