Univ de Chile vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
UCH
5 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1965 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCH
75%
15%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCH
57%
19%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
UCH
1 - 5
SAN
43%
23%
35%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1963 |
UCH
2 - 3
BOC
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1962 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1962 |
EME
7 - 2
UCO
70%
16%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
MIL
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
4 - 1
MIL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |