Univ de Chile vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
1º
36
3º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
18.5% | 7.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
0% | 71.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
4 - 0
COB
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OHI
0 - 4
UCH
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
0 - 0
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
1 - 0
DCO
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 0
UCH
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NUB
0 - 0
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
COB
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 1
UNI
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COQ
2 - 2
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSL
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |