Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 0-7
Univ de Chile vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
EME
0 - 1
UCH
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
UCH
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 5
UCH
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 4
UCH
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
UCH
1 - 2
ULC
61%
20%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 4
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
LOJ
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
FFL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |