Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-4
Univ de Chile vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 3
UCH
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 1
UCH
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
UCH
3 - 2
DEP
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
UCH
2 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
SAN
6 - 0
BOL
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATP
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
COT
2 - 3
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 1
PAY
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |