Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Univ de Chile vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
2 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCH
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
3 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
0 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
UCH
2 - 1
OLI
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LIG
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GUA
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 3
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
11 - 2
VAL
87%
9%
5%
|
84 | 31 | 53 | 0 |