Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Univ de Chile vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 5
UCH
49%
23%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCH
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
2 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
4 - 0
COB
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OHI
0 - 4
UCH
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 5
UCH
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
NUB
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HUA
2 - 2
PAL
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 0
CSL
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 0
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |