Univ de Chile vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCH
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
UCH
2 - 2
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
UCH
0 - 1
DEP
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
UCH
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
4 - 2
UCH
22%
22%
56%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
1 - 1
CON
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 1
NUB
37%
25%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
NUB
27%
24%
48%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
4 - 2
UCH
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
1 - 3
DEP
61%
20%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |