Univ de Chile vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
0 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
UCH
2 - 1
OLI
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
CSD
1 - 7
UCH
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1970 |
UCH
2 - 1
AME
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
UCH
3 - 1
CAL
43%
22%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1970 |
NAC
2 - 0
GAL
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 31 | 52 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
2 - 5
NAC
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 29 | 54 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 4
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |