Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 5-0
Univ de Chile vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCH
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 4
UCH
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 2
ULC
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
UCH
2 - 2
IQU
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCH
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 4
UCH
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAL
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |