Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-2
Univ de Chile vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UCH
0 - 0
ULC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCH
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 2
UCH
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 2
UCH
31%
27%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
UCH
3 - 3
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 0
EME
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EME
3 - 0
QUI
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
EME
0 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
EME
2 - 2
LIG
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
EME
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |