Univ de Chile vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCH
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 3
UCH
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
UCH
1 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UCH
5 - 0
NUB
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
DEF
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 3
LFC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
DEF
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |