Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 4-4
Univ de Chile vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
BOT
3 - 1
UCH
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
COR
3 - 1
UCH
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 1
BOT
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1996 |
UCH
1 - 0
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
DEF
0 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1996 |
SPC
0 - 0
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
UNI
1 - 1
DEF
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |