Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-3
Univ de Chile vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
UCH
3 - 2
DLS
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
UCH
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
CUR
1 - 3
UCH
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 3
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 1
CRZ
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRZ
5 - 0
ATM
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BOA
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 4
CRZ
10%
17%
74%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |