Univ de Chile vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
UCH
0 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2007 |
COL
2 - 0
UCH
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
UCH
2 - 1
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 4
UCH
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
UCH
3 - 0
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CON
1 - 3
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
COQ
3 - 1
CON
26%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CON
3 - 1
NUB
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 3
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
CON
0 - 2
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |