Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Univ de Chile vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CHG
0 - 4
UCH
10%
17%
73%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
UCH
2 - 1
CHG
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
UCH
2 - 0
DLS
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 4
UCH
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
COB
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
COB
6 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 2
COB
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COB
1 - 2
UCO
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 1
COB
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |