Univ de Chile vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCH
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
UCH
0 - 1
CON
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCH
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
UCH
1 - 1
SWA
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
COQ
0 - 0
UCH
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2000 |
SAO
4 - 4
CCP
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
CCP
4 - 2
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
ENC
2 - 5
CCP
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2000 |
COL
2 - 1
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
CCP
2 - 0
CCC
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |