Copa Chile 1/16
Global 6-1
Univ de Chile vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 4
UCH
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
UCH
0 - 2
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 2
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 4
UCH
16%
20%
64%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
DLS
3 - 3
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
CSD
3 - 1
DLS
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
DLS
4 - 1
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
DLS
3 - 0
LAU
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |