Univ de Chile vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
UCH
3 - 1
COB
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
FLA
2 - 0
UCH
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
UCH
2 - 0
PUE
72%
18%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
UCH
2 - 3
RIV
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
UCH
3 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
3 - 1
AND
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
TAL
1 - 0
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |