Univ de Chile vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1996 |
UCH
1 - 0
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
44%
24%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
UCH
4 - 2
BOC
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
4 - 1
UCH
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
UCO
2 - 1
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
BOT
1 - 1
COR
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
BOT
3 - 0
COR
95%
5%
1%
|
81 | 23 | 58 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1996 |
BOT
4 - 1
UCO
69%
17%
13%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
COR
3 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |