Univ de Chile vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1996 |
RIV
1 - 0
UCH
80%
13%
8%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 2
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1996 |
BSC
1 - 1
UCH
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 0
BSC
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 1
UCH
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1997 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1997 |
NAC
3 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |