Univ de Chile vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
USF
3 - 2
UCH
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
UCH
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UCH
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1970 |
UCH
1 - 0
PEÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
2 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
3 - 0
LAR
53%
20%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
0 - 1
ALI
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 2
ALI
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |