Univ. César Vallejo vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 4
VAL
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
ALI
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 1
VAL
22%
27%
51%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
HUA
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
VAL
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 1
SPO
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
AGP
5 - 1
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 7
CIE
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SRP
2 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 4
LOS
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |