Univ. César Vallejo vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 2
SAM
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 1
HUA
36%
28%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
VAL
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
UTC
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 2
ALI
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 1
UTC
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 0
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |