Univ. César Vallejo vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 2
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 2
UNI
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAL
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 3
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
UTC
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
UTC
0 - 0
MEL
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CIE
2 - 0
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
UTC
1 - 0
AYA
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |