Univ. César Vallejo vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
VAL
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
VAL
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 0
HUA
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
VAL
40%
28%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
HUA
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |