Univ. César Vallejo vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 2
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 2
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 0
GAR
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 3
VAL
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
AUR
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
4 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MEL
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |