Univ. César Vallejo vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 3
MEL
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAM
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PIR
0 - 2
VAL
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 2
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
PIR
0 - 3
MUN
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MUN
3 - 0
UNI
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
GAR
1 - 0
MUN
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |