Univ. César Vallejo vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 0
GAR
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 3
SPC
38%
26%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SPC
3 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
SBO
51%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
COM
3 - 2
LOS
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AUN
2 - 2
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
COM
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |