Univ. César Vallejo vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 1
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAH
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
VAL
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
CIE
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
3 - 2
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 2
CIE
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 0
AYA
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |