Univ. César Vallejo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
GAR
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
AUR
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 4
ALI
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
LEO
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |