Univ. César Vallejo vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
VAL
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
SBO
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 0
VAL
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SFE
2 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
HUA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
COB
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 1
CIE
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
COM
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |