Universidad Católica vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 3
UCE
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 0
LOJ
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 3
UCE
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CUE
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |