Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
5º
11
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 29 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 26 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 24 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 18 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 15 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 91% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 0
UCE
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SES
1 - 4
UCE
4%
10%
86%
|
80 | 14 | 66 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 2
UCE
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UCE
1 - 2
CAL
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
UCE
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
MUS
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 0
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
2 - 3
MUS
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
EME
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
MUS
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |