Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BSC
6 - 1
UCE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 0
LIG
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CUE
1 - 0
UCE
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
UCE
2 - 3
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 4
UCE
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 4
AUC
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 3
IVT
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
5 - 1
DEL
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 1
MUS
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MUS
2 - 2
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |