Universidad Católica vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
DEL
2 - 1
UCE
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 0
EME
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
UCE
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
UCE
19%
25%
57%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
3 - 0
OCT
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 1
JAG
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
MIL
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
MIL
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 2
MIL
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 0
TFC
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |