Universidad Católica vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
UCE
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 2
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
UCE
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 1
MUS
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 0
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
LOJ
34%
28%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 3
LIG
38%
31%
31%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
BSC
0 - 1
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
CUE
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |