Universidad Católica vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 1
UCE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
UCE
1 - 0
DEL
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 1
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
IVT
5 - 0
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
LIG
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
EME
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
LIG
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
3 - 0
LIG
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |