Universidad Católica vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 1
UCE
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 3
DEP
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
UCE
29%
26%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
LOJ
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 2
UCE
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 1
CUE
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
LIG
0 - 1
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIG
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LIG
3 - 1
DEP
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
LIG
35%
30%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |