Universidad Católica vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
UCE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 0
DEP
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 2
UCE
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
LOJ
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
UCE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
LIG
0 - 2
CUE
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
LIG
1 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EME
0 - 1
LIG
48%
28%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
LIG
3 - 1
DEP
69%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
LIG
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |