Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-3
Universidad Católica vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
UCE
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UCE
3 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 0
UCE
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 1
UCE
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 4
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
UCE
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 3
LIB
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
JLM
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |