Universidad Católica vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 0
CLA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EME
2 - 0
UCE
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
UCE
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 2
CUE
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 3
LIG
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 0
CUE
32%
27%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
IVT
6 - 0
FAM
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
LIG
3 - 1
FAM
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 3
RIV
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 1
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |