Universidad Católica vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PET
1 - 3
UCE
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BSC
1 - 3
UCE
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UCE
1 - 3
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UCE
3 - 0
LIG
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
UCE
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 1
LIG
50%
29%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
FAM
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 1
EME
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DEL
5 - 1
FAM
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
OHI
1 - 0
FAM
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |